Author, and Host, Polaris-Live.com
Fellow, Foreign Policy Association
“Such an enlightening and well assembled read. A must for gaining a more comprehensive view”
Peter Cloutier • U.S. Foreign Service Diplomat
Sarwar Kashmeri’s highly acclaimed new book, published in 2019. Purchase from your local bookstore or Amazon.com
Draws from personal research and interviews with prominent Asian and American scholars, businessmen, military officials, and political experts
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The Business of America and China Is Business
Sarwar Kashmeri
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For “The Telegram,” a Foreign Policy Association Report, “Sarwar Kashmeri interviewed experts from around the world to present a compelling brief for recalibrating U.S.- China relations. His narrative draws upon expert views from across the political spectrum and from around the world. It could not be more timely ” -- Noel Lateef, President and CEO, FPA.
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“The old order changeth yielding place to new...Lest one good custom should corrupt the world.“
Alfred, Lord Tennyson
Polaris
Sarwar's opinions, conversations, and guest editorials
Polaris, the North Star has been used for centuries by sailors to find one’s location within the cosmos and to chart a passage to safe harbor. I’d like to think that my iteration of Polaris might serve as a guide to help make sense of today’s rapidly shifting geopolitical and economic changes, and help policy makers safely navigate these tumultuous times.
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PolarisLive: Upcoming Events
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March
March 20th 11:00 AM EST: Jorge Heine - Role for Latin America In U.S.-China Competition?
Ambassador Jorge Heine is a lawyer, IR scholar and diplomat with a special interest in the international politics of the Global South. Ambassador Heine is Research Professor at Boston University’s Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies and Interim Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future.
The global landscape is shifting as the power dynamics between Latin America, U.S., and China continue to evolve. These changes are reshaping the world order and influencing international relations on a grand scale.
Will the the countries of Latin America with a population of over 430 million people, have to choose between the two superpowers? How will China and the U.S. fine-tune their strategies to accommodate the impact of technology and the emergence of the global south? What will be the impact of this shift in global geostrategic balance on the existing Western-led global order?
April
April 2nd 9:30 AM EDT - Luv Puri: India's Bollywood elections - Donald Trump's envy!
India’s Bollywood elections must be the envy of Donald Trump — Lock up the opposition and freeze its bank accounts–the “largest democracy in the world” goes to the poll in a Bollywood inspired election that is about to roll across India. A frank appraisal of a fast changing India from an international, experienced Indian observer.
Luv Puri has been working in the field of International Affairs for two-decades, both as a practitioner and an analyst. He was with the UN Department of Political Affairs for ten years, during which period he worked at the highest levels of multilateral diplomacy, including as part of the Secretary-General’s Good Offices. He started his career working with the widely-read and respected daily, The Hindu where he reported on conflict areas with a focus on issues related to Human Rights for several years. In 2006, he won the European Commission Award for Human Rights and Democracy.
At present, he is a columnist on International Affairs for several widely-read publications (authory.com/Luv Puri). He has authored two books, including -“Across the Line of Control” -, published by Columbia University Press. and was a Fulbright Scholar from 2008-10. He did his Masters in New York University.
April 16th 9:30 AM EDT - Aminda Smith: Is China's "Communism", really Communism?
The Chinese Communist Party governs the country from each village and city building to the very top of the country’s power structure. The CCP has the authority to preside over the government’s decisions at both central and local levels. Unlike the Soviet Union, however, China is largely a free-market economy that produces as many billionaires as does the U.S. How well does the U.S. understand the CCP? Does this lack of understanding prohibit better relations between the two superpowers?
Dr. Aminda Smith is Associate Professor in the Department of History at Michigan State University. She is a historian specializing in modern Chinese history with a particular interest in the social and cultural history of Chinese Communism. She serves as co-director of the PRC History Group, an international scholarly organization dedicated to increasing research and knowledge on the People’s Republic of China. Dr. Smith has written widely on the global histories of the Chinese Communist Party and Maoism.
May
May 2nd 12:30 PM EDT - FPA-Burkle Center/UCLA dialogue on U.S. - China Relations
In a pivotal series of discussions underwritten by the Annenberg Foundation, that could reshape U.S.-China relations, American and Canadian experts, on both sides of the political spectrum, convened in Los Angeles last week in the first ever Burkle Center/UCLA and Foreign Policy Association conference. Success in building consensus was not guaranteed, but was accomplished. We speak with the Director of the Burkle Center and a key participant to understand why and highlight key recommendations.
Professor Kal Raustiala
Promise Institute Distinguished Professor of Comparative and International Law Director & UCLA Ronald W. Burkle Center for International Relations.
Mr. Chris Fenton
Founder, Fenton International Business Strategy & Communications.
May 14th 9:30 PM EDT - T.V. Paul: India, Perpetual Great Power in Waiting?
Along with the meteoric rise of China, there has been much interest in the emergence of India, as a rising power with one of the fastest growing economies in the world. The rapidly developing US-China rivalry gives India an added importance in world politics today as India is perhaps the only swing power that can help balance China’s potentially aggressive rise in the Indo-Pacific region. That, at least, is what the U.S. believes and has made this goal one of its central strategic planks for the Indio-Pacific.
Is this American vision but a dream? Given India’s enduring friendship with Russia as demonstrated by its refusal to toe the U.S. line in the Russia-Ukraine war and its growing trade relationship with China in spite of the Himalaya military clashes between the two Asian nations.
July
July 11th 9:30 PM EDT - Ankit Panda: U.S. & China - Wooing the Global South
Ankit Panda is the Stanton Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. An expert on the Asia-Pacific region, his research interests include nuclear strategy, arms control, missile defense, nonproliferation, emerging technologies, and U.S. extended deterrence.
He has consulted for the United Nations in New York and Geneva on nonproliferation and disarmament matters, and has testified on security topics before the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee and the congressionally chartered U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission.
July 23rd 9:30 PM EDT - Jeffrey Reeves: NATO Should Stay out of Asia
Since identifying China as a “systemic challenge†in its 2022 Strategic Concept, NATO has been pursuing closer strategic and operational relations with Japan, Australia, South Korea, and New Zealand, collectively known as its Indo-Pacific Four (IP4) The prospect of a NATO+IP4 security regime is deeply problematic. Asian states, including those with close ties to Europe and the United States, would likely see a formal NATO+IP4 security structure more as a Western provocation rather than a defensive alliance.
Jeffrey Reeves is Associate Professor at the U.S. Naval War College, Naval Postgraduate School, and Senior Washington Fellow at the Institute for Peace and Diplomacy. He specializes in Asian security, political economics, strategy foreign policy, and economic statecraft. Published extensively in leading academic journals including China Quarterly, Washington Quarterly, International Relations of the Asia Pacific, and Journal of Contemporary Chinese Studies.
September
September 3rd 9:30 PM EDT - Pamela Crossley: U.S. Presidential elections and China, Great Expectations?
The 2024 Presidential election in the United States is full of profound unknowns, especially for the world’s other superpower: the People’s Republic of China. Does China’s centuries long history offer clues to how it might be preparing to deal with the unpredictable turn of events that the American system has thrown up. A wrong guess in China will have profound consequences for China, for China-U.S. relations, and for the world.
Professor Pamela Crossley is one of the world’s leading historians of modern China, northern Asia, and global history. She is a specialist in the history of China’s last empire, the Qing, but has written books on early modern and modern Chinese history, Central Asian history, and global history. Her work is widely published both in scholarly journals and in newspapers, and magazines for the general public. Crossley is author of The Wobbling Pivot: China since 1800: An Interpretive History (2010), as well as influential studies of the Qing dynasty (1644-1911) and leading textbooks in global history.
September 10th 9:30 PM EDT - Shehzad Qazi: China's Economy plans for U.S. Elections
How are China’s economic policy makers strategizing to prepare for the coming change in U.S. Administrations and how are they reacting to the dire forecasts from U.S. investment banks and market makers? How accurately do U.S. forecasters understand the state of China’s economy? Is the media focus on “overcapacity” warranted. Not too log ago China was described as the “mother of all investment opportunities.”
Mr. Qazi is the managing director of “China Beige Book.” As the firm-wide operations lead, Shehzad oversees product innovation, client services, new business acquisition, and corporate strategy at China Beige Book International. Since 2012, Shehzad has helped develop data collection for the China Beige Book™ platform and supervised the analytics team. During this time, he has also designed innovative services and macro strategic and sectoral products for the firm’s financial markets and corporate clients.
September 17th 9:30 PM EDT - Marc Chandler: China's "overcapacity" paradox
One of the impressive sounding but dense buzzwords over the last year has been “overcapacity.” A constant refrain that China is unfairly overproducing and flooding the world with below cost goods and destroying jobs in the West. Western countries, led by America, have responded by resorting to more protectionist policies. But is the assumption and the strategy sound? Aren’t affordable goods good for people?
Mr. Chandler is Managing Director and Chief Market Strategist for Bannockburn Global Forex. He has covered global capital markets for more than 30 years.
September 24th 8:30 PM EDT - Cameron Johnson: Business of U.S. and China is still Business
Is the economic picture in China as dire as the media reports? Why are rich Chinese leaving the country for safer havens in the West. How difficult is it for U.S. firms to set up a business in China. Is the geopolitically tense situation between the world’s two biggest economies causing lasting damage to the business relationship? What is polling of U.S. businesses in Shanghai and around China telling us about the future of the business relationship.
Mr. Johnson has 20+ years of management experience across various industries in China and has lived and done business in China for 20 years, in Beijing, Shanghai, Changchun, and Chongqing.
September 30th 9:30 PM EDT - Zongyuan Zoe Liu: Moving China-U.S. Trade Negotiations Forward
The 2024 Presidential elections are being labeled as the most consequential in generations, especially in what they will tell the world about America’s future foreign and trade policies, especially the future path of U.S. – China trade relations. How is China preparing to adjust to whatever the elections foretell given its continuing economic issues in its problem laden real estate sector and an industrial manufacturing engine that is accused by the U.S. and the EU of producing more than its capacity to absorb domestically. Is this accusation correct or simply an excuse for the West to levy more taxes on imports from China. We speak to an expert who has recently returned from a visit to China.
Zongyuan Zoe Liu is Maurice R. Greenberg senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Her work focuses on international political economy, global financial markets, sovereign wealth funds, supply chains of critical minerals, development finance, emerging markets, energy and climate change policy, and East Asia-Middle East relations. Dr. Liu’s regional expertise is in East Asia, specifically China and Japan, and the Middle East, specifically Gulf Cooperation Council countries.
October
October 1st 9:00 AM EDT - Jorge Heine: U.S. Elections and Latin America/Global South
Latin America is the U.S. backyard, how are its countries preparing for the next U.S. President; Two Global South countries, China and Iran have been branded as members of the axis deemed by the West as an axis grouped to actively oppose the U.S. West. How are Latin America and the Global South countries strategizing to deal with the new U.S. administration. Is there a chance that the Global South group of countries becomes a cohesive group. What advice for the Presidents of the superpowers to improve their daggers-drawn stand off?
Ambassador Jorge Heine is a lawyer, IR scholar and diplomat with a special interest in the international politics of the Global South. Ambassador Heine is Research Professor at Boston University’s Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies and Interim Director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future.
October 15th 12:30 PM EDT - Elina Noor: Global South, China and U.S. Elections
How are the Global South countries, especially those in East Asia preparing for the U.S. Presidential Elections, given the continuing protectionist trend in America. What messages for these regions from the wars in the Middle East, and Africa, and the growing impotence of the United Nations to influence global security.
Elina Noor is a senior fellow in the Asia Program at Carnegie where she focuses on developments in Southeast Asia, particularly the impact and implications of technology in reshaping power dynamics, governance, and nation-building in the region.
Previously, Elina was director of political-security affairs and deputy director of the Washington, D.C. office at the Asia Society Policy Institute, and taught at the Daniel K. Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies in Honolulu. She spent most of her career at the Institute of Strategic and International Studies Malaysia, where she last held the position of director, foreign policy and security studies. Elina was also formerly with the Brookings Institution’s Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World.
October 22nd 9:00 AM EDT - Zha Daojiong: China strategy for U.S. Elections
Zha Daojiong is a professor in the School of International Studies and Institute of South-South Cooperation and Development at Peking University.
His areas of expertise include non-traditional security studies, international political economy and China’s international economic relations. His research publications cover such topics as energy, cross-boundary water management, development aid and public health, and international development cooperation. He also contributes opinion pieces in newspapers including the South China Morning Post. He studied at the University of Hawaii and the East West Center, where he earned a Doctorate in Political Science. Before joining the faculty of Peking University, he taught in the University of Macau, International University of Japan, Miyazaki International College, and Renmin University of China.
November
November 7th 10:00 AM EST - Janka Oertel: China-EU-U.S. and the American Elections
Dr Janka Oertel is director of the Asia program and a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR.)
Oertel previously worked as a senior fellow in the Asia programme at the German Marshall Fund of the United States’ Berlin office, where she focused on transatlantic China policy including on emerging technologies, Chinese foreign policy, and security in east Asia. Prior to joining the GMF, she served as a programme director at Körber Foundation’s Berlin office. She was also a visiting fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP Berlin) and worked at United Nations Headquarters, New York, as a Carlo-Schmid fellow. She has published widely on topics related to EU-China relations, US-China relations, security in the Asia-Pacific region, Chinese foreign policy, 5G and emerging technologies, as well as climate cooperation.
She has testified before the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the German Bundestag, and is frequently quoted in leading media outlets such as the Financial Times, the New York Times, The Economist, Süddeutsche Zeitung, El Confidencial, Berlingske, and many more.
November 19th 9:30 AM EST - Bonnie Glaser: China-U.S. Relations in a New American Administration
Bonnie S. Glaser is an American foreign policy analyst currently serving as managing director of the Indo-Pacific Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. She was previously a senior adviser for Asia and the founding director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Glaser is also a non-resident fellow with the Lowy Institute, a senior associate with CSIS Pacific Forum, and a consultant for the U.S. government on East Asia. Glaser writes extensively on Chinese policy, including its foreign and military policy towards the United States, Cross-Strait relations, China’s relations with Japan and Korea, Chinese perspectives on missile defense, and multilateral security in Asia.
Sarwar Kashmeri in the News
The Business of America and China is Business
The Foreign Policy Association’s 23rd annual World Leadership Forum featured a panel hosted by Sarwar Kashmeri. Panelists included: Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist, Bannockburn Global Forex, and George Magnus, China Centre at Oxford University. Watch the panel in discussion about the topic “The Business of America and China is Business”.
10 Years of the Belt & Road Initiative on CGTN with Sarwar Kashmeri
The CGTN interview with Sarwar Kashmeri on the infrastructure project to connect the world through land and sea, known as the Belt and Road Initiative.
U.S.- China Relations A Foreign Policy Association Broadcast
The event is the Dame Jillian Sackler Distinguished Lecture on U.S.-China Relations.
An in-depth interview with Sarwar Kashmeri
China Strengthens Ties in Mideast and Africa As US Influence Declines
“The last three decades of United States involvement in the world has been provocatively militaristic in nature,” Kashmeri says, noting that this approach has alienated many and deterred the spirit of international collaboration.” – Sarwar Kashmeri
China's Grand Strategy Washington D.C. Book Launch with Hon. Chuck Hagel
The Honorable Chuck Hagel, 24th U.S. Secretary of Defense (2013-2015), and Professor Sarwar Kashmeri, Fellow at the Foreign Policy Association, discuss “China’s Grand Strategy.”
China's Grand Strategy New York Book Launch with Professor Pamela Crossley
The New York book launch of “China’s Grand Strategy” with Professor Pamela Crossley, Wollis professor of history and professor of Asian and Middle Eastern Studies at Dartmouth College. the Foreign Policy Association, moderated by Professor Sarwar Kashmeri, Fellow at the Foreign Policy Association.
China’s Grand Strategy and the BRI
U.S. Army War College Podcast • March 3, 2020
There has never been anything like it in recorded history where a country has put…a trillion dollars aside to help in jump starting all of these infrastructure projects around the country..
Deutsche-Welle features Sarwar in their China anniversary news program
Deutsche-Welle interview with Professor Sarwar Kashmeri on Chinese strategy in the 21st century.
Sarwar's Chronicles
In 2002, Sarwar Kashmeri changed tack from founder/CEO of his international accounting systems company to a career in analyzing, writing, and speaking about U.S. foreign policy and national security. Over that time his interests have covered U.S.-EU relations, NATO, and lately U.S.- China relations. This is a collection of some of his opinion columns and book reviews since 2002.
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